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The Lab for Social Decision-Making & Risk

Prof. Yoella Bereby-Meyer

Choosing between lotteries

Remarkable coordination without communication

Yoella Bereby-Meyer,Simone Moran, Brit Grosskopf, Dolly Chugh

The current research examines tacit coordination behavior in a lottery selection task. Two hundred participants in each of three experiments and 100 in a fourth choose to participate in one of two lotteries, where one lottery has a larger prize than the other. Independent of variations in the complexity of the mechanism of prize allocation, the prize amounts, and whether the lottery is the participant's first or second choice, we typically find that the percentage of participants who choose the high versus low-prize lotteries does not significantly differ from the equilibrium predictions. This coordination is achieved without communication or experience. We additionally find that participants with an analytical thinking style and a risk-averse tendency are more likely to choose the low-prize lottery over the high-prize lottery. This tendency seems to be stable across choices. The pattern of our results suggests that to achieve tacit coordination, having a subset of individuals who attend to the choices of others is sufficient.

Publication language English
Pages 338-347
Journal Journal of Behavioral Decision Making
Volume 26
Issue number 4
Publication status Published - 01.10.2013

Keywords

Choice
Coordination
Lottery
Risk taking
Thinking style
Uncertainty

ASJC Scopus subject areas

General Decision Sciences
Arts and Humanities (miscellaneous)
Applied Psychology
Sociology and Political Science
Strategy and Management
Access to Document
10.1002/bdm.1769
Other files and links
Link to publication in Scopus