Ofek Riemer

Senior Academic

Learning from mistakes

the impact of the October 7 surprise attack on the youngest generation of IDF intelligence analysts

This article explores the individual-level effects of an intelligence failure; in particular, on entry-level intelligence analysts. It draws on interviews with graduates of the first class of the IDF Intelligence Directorate’s basic training in intelligence analysis to take place after Hamas’ surprise attack on Israel on 7 October 2023. The article finds that, despite the reputational damage to the Israeli intelligence, the graduates’ motivation to serve in it was not impaired. However, they face significant challenges, chief among them is a heavy sense of responsibility and a terrible fear of failure that may cause either paralysis or alarmism.

Publication language English
Pages 886-906
Volume 40
Issue number 5
Publication status Published - 01.01.2025

Keywords

Intelligence failure
Israel
October 7
intelligence analysis
training

ASJC Scopus subject areas

History
Political Science and International Relations